Bitcoin nqi poob rau $31K raws li cov tub luam npaj rau txoj kev 'pob zeb' thiab ntau downside

"Thaum nws los nag, nws nchuav" yog ib lo lus qub hais tias nrhiav qhov tseem ceeb tshiab hauv kev lag luam cryptocurrency thaum lub Tsib Hlis 9 raws li cov tub lag luam ntsib lwm hnub ntawm qhov mob thiab tus nqi poob tam sim no coj Bitcoin (BTC) mus rau nws qib qis tshaj hauv 2022

Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Cointelegraph Ciaj uas muag Pro thiab TradingView qhia tau hais tias BTC selloff rau lub Tsib Hlis 9 intensified raws li hnub trading tau nce nrog Bitcoin ntaus ib hnub qis ntawm $ 31,000 raws li bulls scrambled mus rau mount dab tsi npaum li cas rau ib tug tsis muaj zog tiv thaiv.

BTC / USDT daim ntawv qhia 1-hnub. Tau qhov twg los: TradingView

Nov yog saib qee qhov kev txhim kho uas ua rau lub Tsib Hlis 9 tus nqi poob qis thiab dab tsi cov tub lag luam tuaj yeem nrhiav raws li kev lag luam crypto taub hau tob rau hauv thaj chaw dais. 

Ntxiv downside yog muaj peev xwm

Bitcoin bulls tau tawm tsam los tsim kom muaj kev txhawb nqa hauv pem teb nyob rau ob peb lub hlis dhau los vim tias bears tau mob siab rau hauv lawv lub zog los thawb tus nqi qis.

Tam sim no, BTC tus nqi nqis 50% los ntawm nws txhua lub sijhawm siab nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis thiab cov tuam txhab tshawb xyuas ntawm cov saw hlau Glassnode tau sau tseg hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom tsis ntev los no tias qhov kev poob qis no "tseem nyob qis qis thaum piv rau qhov kawg lows ntawm ua ntej Bitcoin dais lag luam."

Bitcoin nqi rub tawm los ntawm txhua lub sijhawm siab. Source: Glassnode

Raws li pom hauv daim duab saum toj no, qhov kev poob qis hauv Lub Xya Hli 2021 tau mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws ntawm -54.2% thaum "kev lag luam dais ntawm 2015, 2018 thiab Lub Peb Hlis 2020 capitulated ntawm qis ntawm -77.2% thiab -85.5% tawm ntawm txhua lub sijhawm siab."

Network profitability kuj tau poob rau theem uas zoo ib yam li qhov tau pom thaum lub sij hawm lig-2018 thiab lig 2019-2020 dais lag luam.

Bitcoin: Muab khoom, chaw thiab chaw nyob hauv cov txiaj ntsig. Source: Glassnode

Glassnode hais tias,

"Nws yuav tsum tau muab sau tseg tias ob qho tib si yog ua ntej qhov kawg capitulation flush out event. Yog li ntawd, qhov kev poob qis ntxiv tseem muaj kev pheej hmoo, thiab yuav nyob hauv thaj tsam ntawm keeb kwm kev ua tau zoo. "

Cov tub luam tab tom ua qhov kev pheej hmoo tawm mus

Kev nkag mus tob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv ntawm cov saw hlau qhia tau hais tias qhov capitulation los ntawm Bitcoin cov tuav tau muaj zog nyob rau lub asthiv tsis ntev los no vim tus nqi tau txuas ntxiv mus qis dua.

Cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj rau qhov kev txiav txim siab no tuaj yeem pom tau saib ntawm Bitcoin pauv tus nqi dominance, uas ntsuas qhov feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov nqi ntawm Bitcoin network tau them rau tso nyiaj BTC rau kev sib pauv.

Bitcoin pauv tus nqi dominance. Source: Glassnode

Raws li Glassnode, qhov nrawm nrawm ntawm Bitcoin pauv tus nqi dominance mus rau 15.2% yog qib thib ob-siab tshaj plaws hauv keeb kwm thiab "txuas ntxiv txhawb nqa cov ntaub ntawv uas Bitcoin tub ua lag luam tab tom nrhiav rau de-risk, muag thiab / lossis ntxiv cov khoom lag luam rau cov paj hauv teb. rau kev lag luam volatility. "

Cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj ntxiv ntawm qhov kev pheej hmoo tawm ntawm qhov kev xav tuaj yeem pom tau saib cov khoom siv ruaj khov, uas tau poob rau ob lub hlis dhau los tom qab tau nce los ntawm $ 5.33 billion mus rau $ 158.25 billion txij li thaum lub lag luam muag tawm hauv lub Peb Hlis 2020.

Tom qab ncav cuag lub ncov ntawm $ 161.53 nphom nyob rau lub Plaub Hlis thaum ntxov, cov khoom lag luam ruaj khov tau poob qis los ntawm $ 3.285 billion raws li kev nce siab hauv kev txhiv ntawm USD Npib (USDC) tau outpaced inflows thoob plaws tag nrho stabilitycoin tokens.

Aggregate stabilitycoin muab 30-hnub hloov pauv. Source: Glassnode

Glassnode hais tias,

"Zuag qhia tag nrho, muaj ntau cov cim qhia ntawm qhov tsis muaj zog hauv qhov chaw, ntau qhov uas qhia tau tias kev pheej hmoo tawm ntawm kev xav tseem yog lub lag luam tseem ceeb nyob rau lub sijhawm no."

Related: Bitcoin teeb tsa tshiab 2022 lows raws li kws tshuaj ntsuam hais tias mus rau $ 24K paub tus nqi 'tag nrho ua tau'

Muaj peev xwm tuav tau tshaj $30,000

Tsis ntev los no tsis muaj zog thoob plaws hauv kev ua lag luam tau ua rau ntau tus neeg lag luam crypto hloov pauv thiab lees txais qhov muaj peev xwm poob mus rau $ 28,000, uas tau pib pique qhov kev xav tsis sib xws ntawm qee tus kws tshuaj ntsuam suav nrog cov tub luam yav tom ntej Peter Brandt, uas tau tshaj tawm cov tweet nram qab no hais txog qhov kev hloov pauv hauv kev xav.

Nws tseem yuav pom dab tsi los tom ntej rau BTC, tab sis nws yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws los npaj rau kev hloov pauv ntau dua vim tias macro ntiaj teb cov xwm txheej txuas ntxiv ua rau muaj kev lag luam nyiaj txiag.

Glassnode hais tias,

"Bitcoin tseem muaj feem cuam tshuam nrog kev lag luam dav dav, uas qhia tias txoj hauv kev ua ntej yuav hmoov tsis zoo yog pob zeb, tsawg kawg rau lub sijhawm."

Zuag qhia tag nrho cryptocurrency lag luam cap tam sim no sawv ntawm $ 1.467 trillion thiab Bitcoin tus lej kev sib luag yog 41.7%.

Cov kev xav thiab cov kev xav hais tawm ntawm no tsuas yog cov ntawm tus sau thiab tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam cov kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.com. Txhua qhov kev nqis peev thiab kev lag luam tawm mus cuam tshuam nrog kev pheej hmoo, koj yuav tsum ua koj tus kheej kev tshawb fawb thaum txiav txim siab.