Bitcoin ntsib FOMC tom qab 39% Lub Ib Hlis nce nrog Fed txoj kev 'tsis meej'

Bitcoin (BTC) hovered nyob ib ncig ntawm $23,000 thaum Lub Ob Hlis 1 tom qab kaw nws qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws Lub Ib Hlis hauv 10 xyoo.

BTC / USD 1-teev daim ntawv teev tswm ciab (Bitstamp). Tau qhov twg los: TradingView

Qhov kawg ntawm Bitcoin dais lag luam yog "default view"

Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Cointelegraph Ciaj uas muag Pro thiab TradingView lees paub qhov kaw txhua hli ntawm ib ncig ntawm $ 23,100 rau BTC / USD - nws qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li Lub Xya Hli 2022.

Qhov loj tshaj plaws cryptocurrency tiav thawj lub hlis ntawm lub xyoo nce 39.6%, raws li kev txheeb cais los ntawm Coinglass.

BTC / USD txhua hli rov qab sib piv (screenshot). Tau qhov twg los: Coinglass

Qhov kev ua tau zoo tau txhawb nqa bulls, ntau tus neeg tau khaws txoj kev ntseeg txawm tias muaj kev tsis txaus ntseeg los ntawm ntau tus neeg koom nrog kev lag luam.

"Bitcoin kaw nrog lub hli viav vias qis," tus tub luam, ua lag luam thiab cov tub ua lag luam Bob Loukas reacted.

"Kuv txhais tau tias, txhua yam tuaj yeem tshwm sim, txoj cai. Tab sis qhov kev pom meej meej yuav tsum yog lub lag luam dais xaus rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis. "

Raws li Cointelegraph qhia, kev xav txawv heev tshaj li cas Bitcoin yuav coj tus cwj pwm nyob rau lub Ob Hlis, nrog ib tug tub luam cia siab tias "bearish" cov xwm txheej yuav rov qab los tom qab tsib lub hlis siab.

Daim duab rau lub hli tom ntej tseem raug huab los ntawm kev lag luam macroeconomic triggers. Tshwj xeeb tshaj yog, Lub Ob Hlis 1 yuav pom Tebchaws Meskas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve lees paub nws cov paj laum tom ntej, nrog rau European Central Bank ua tib yam thaum Lub Ob Hlis 2.

Thaum lub sij hawm 25 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus (bps) taug kev los ntawm Fed yog tag nrho tab sis "sib koom ua ke" luv nqi hauv, crypto tshawb fawb thiab tsom xam tuam txhab Arcane Research hais tias, yav tom ntej tseem tsis tshua muaj tseeb.

"Vim qhov kev lag luam rov qab muaj zog heev, Lub Rooj Tswjhwm Saib Powell tuaj yeem siv qhov zoo los tswj cov kev txwv hawkish undertones, hais txog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam tuaj," nws tau sib cav hauv ib qho blog tshaj tawm tshaj tawm thaum Lub Ib Hlis 31, ntxiv qhov kev pom zoo "cia siab tias yuav muaj 25bps taug kev rau hnub Wednesday thiab lwm qhov 25bps taug kev mus rau 475bps thaum Lub Peb Hlis 22."

"Tam sim no, xoom kev hloov pauv thaum lub Tsib Hlis 3 thiab Lub Rau Hli 14 FOMC cov rooj sib tham tau raug nqi raws li qhov yuav tshwm sim, tab sis kev nce ntxiv ntawm 25bps tseem nyob hauv thaj tsam ntawm qhov muaj peev xwm," nws tau sau tseg.

Kev cia siab ntawm 25bps taug kev tag nrho 99.3% thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, raws li rau CME Group's FedWatch Tool.

Fed lub hom phiaj tus nqi probabilities chart. Tau qhov twg los: CME Group

Yog hais tias lub qhov rooj qhib rau surprises, volatility tej zaum yuav nce raws li qhov tshwm sim, nrog rau kev txiav txim siab mus nce qib twb yog ib tug classic catalyst.

Arcane txawm li cas los xij tau qhia tias nrog txhua qhov kev taug kev mus, qhov tsis muaj zog nyob ib puag ncig Fed qhov kev txav tau txias.

"Qhov no tuaj yeem qhia tau tias qhov sib txawv ntawm FOMC-vim qhov hloov pauv loj hauv BTC tau poob qis," nws xaus.

Bitcoin volatility piv daim duab (screenshot). Tau qhov twg los: Arcane Research

Dollar zog qhov muag tseem ceeb rebound

Lwm qhov kev txhawj xeeb rau crypto kev ua tau zoo los ntawm US duas zog.

Related: Lub Ib Hlis zoo tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2013? 5 yam uas yuav tsum paub hauv Bitcoin lub lim tiam no

Nyob rau hauv ib tug kev ua lag luam hloov tshiab Lub lim tiam dhau los, tuam txhab lag luam QCP Capital ceeb toom cov neeg siv khoom tias "kev sib txawv loj heev" tau ua si ntawm US Dollar Index (DXY).

Kev lig kev cai inversely correlated nrog kev pheej hmoo cov cuab tam, DXY tau nyob rau hauv ib tug downtrend txij thaum nruab nrab-2022 tab sis tau stemmed poob rau hauv lub xyoo tshiab.

"Qhov no yog tib qhov teeb tsa uas peb tau pom hauv BTC / ETH thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis - thiab raws li peb tau pom nyob rau ntawd, ib qho kev tawg mus rau sab saum toj yuav yog qhov ntse heev thiab ua phem," QCP sau.

US Dollar Index (DXY) 1-hnub tswm ciab daim ntawv qhia. Tau qhov twg los: TradingView

Cov kev xav, cov kev xav thiab kev xav ntawm no yog tus sau phau ntawv ib leeg thiab tsis tas yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam lossis sawv cev ntawm kev pom thiab kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.