Bitcoin (BTC) thiab Ethereum (ETH) yog tam sim no ua lag luam ntawm tus nqi luv, tab sis crypto pauv Kraken hais tias kev sib tw nyuj yuav tsis dhau rau ob lub cuab tam digital loj tshaj plaws los ntawm kev ua lag luam.
Nyob rau hauv nws lub Ib Hlis 2022 crypto on-chain digest, Kraken hais tias Bitcoin tus siv nyiaj tso zis piv (SOPR) thiab Ethereum tus nqi ua lag luam kom paub tus nqi (MVRV) Z-score qhia tias ETH thiab BTC yog trading qis dua lawv cov nqi ncaj ncees, tab sis kev pauv hais tias. tias qhov rov qab tuaj yeem ua tau.
"Txawm hais tias BTC's SOPR qhia tau hais tias cov neeg koom hauv kev lag luam feem ntau yog kev lag luam BTC ntawm qhov poob, qhov xwm txheej tau hnyav dua thaum Bitcoin qhov tseeb bull khiav retracement los ntawm $ 65,000 txog $ 30,000 txij lub Tsib Hlis 2021 txog Lub Xya Hli 2021 ua ntej nws rov qab mus rau qhov siab tshiab txhua lub sijhawm.
Ntxiv mus, ETH's MVRV Z-cov qhab nia qhia tau hais tias cov cuab tam crypto tam sim no nyob rau hauv 'oversold' thaj chaw, qhov twg nws keeb kwm tau tawm tsam kom nyob twj ywm rau lub sijhawm ntev ua ntej tus nqi nce.
SOPR on-chain metric txiav txim siab yog tias cov tswv Bitcoin muag ntawm cov nyiaj tau los lossis poob. Yog tias SOPR ntau dua 1, cov tswv cuab ntawm cov cuab tam muag tau nyiaj. Txwv tsis pub, lawv muag ntawm qhov poob.
BTC's SOPR qhia txog kev poob siab nrog kev nyeem hauv qab 1, tab sis Kraken hais tias qhov kev ntsuas tau zoo dua xyoo tas los thaum Bitcoin nqis los ntawm $ 65,000 hauv lub Tsib Hlis mus txog $ 30,000 thaum Lub Xya Hli.
"Yog tias qhov ntsuas ntsuas tau tawg los ntawm kev nyeem ntawm 1 thiab tuav saum toj no, nws tuaj yeem qhia qhov kawg ntawm kev hloov pauv kev lag luam bull tsis ntev los no. Txawm li cas los xij, yog tias Bitcoin tseem qis dua qhov kev nyeem ntawm 1 thaum [tus] nqe tseem poob qis, nws yuav txwv tsis pub BTC tau nkag mus rau hauv lub voj voog dais ...
Thaum lub sijhawm SOPR tam sim no qhia txog kev poob qis, cov ntaub ntawv ntawm cov saw hlau tau pleev xim rau daim duab tsis zoo thaum lub sijhawm kawg ntawm kev ua lag luam zoo sib xws, tom qab ntawd BTC tau tswj hwm kom rov qab muaj zog. Hauv lwm lo lus, tsis txhob suav BTC tawm tam sim no. "
MVRV Z-score kuj qhia tau tias muaj kev cia siab rau Ethereum. Lub metric yog siv los ntsuas kev lag luam profitability raws li seb tus nqi ntawm cov cuab tam yog muag saum toj no lossis qis dua nws tus nqi ncaj ncees. Kev nyeem saum toj 5 qhia tias ETH yog overbought, lossis muag tshaj nws tus nqi ncaj ncees. Kev nyeem hauv qab no 1 qhia tau hais tias tus cryptocurrency yog oversold, los yog trading hauv qab nws tus nqi.
"Nrog ETH nqis -49% los ntawm nws txhua lub sijhawm siab ntawm $ 4,867 thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 9, 2021, MVRV-Z Score tau poob rau hauv 'oversold' thaj chaw. Keeb kwm qhia tau hais tias ETH's MVRV Z-cov qhab nia zoo li poob mus rau thaj tsam "oversold" thaum lub sij hawm retracement tab sis tsis nyob hauv qhov ntau ntev ua ntej cov nqi rov qab.
Lub sijhawm kawg ntawm Ethereum's MVRV Z-cov qhab nia poob rau thaj tsam no yog nyob ib puag ncig lub sijhawm Dub Thursday kev lag luam poob rau lub Peb Hlis 2020. Txawm hais tias cov khoom muaj nqis thiab kev ua haujlwm hauv network tau thim rov qab, cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm ntawm cov saw hlau qhia tias nws tsis yog txhua qhov kev ntxhov siab thiab kev puas tsuaj rau ETH. . Cov neeg koom ua lag luam muaj keeb kwm sau tseg thaum 'oversold' MVRV Z-score nyeem.
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Tsis kam lees: Lub tswvyim los ntawm Lub Hnub Hodl tsis yog kev tawm tswvyim rau peev. Cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum ua lawv txoj kev mob siab rau ua ntej ua ib qho kev pheej hmoo siab nqis peev hauv Bitcoin, cryptocurrency los yog cov cuab tam digital. Thov qhia rau koj tias kev hloov tsheb thiab kev ua lag luam yog koj li kev pheej hmoo, thiab ib qho poob twg koj tuaj yeem yog koj lub luag haujlwm. Lub Hnub Hodl tsis pom zoo kom yuav lossis muag ib qho cryptocurrencies lossis digital cov cuab tam, tsis yog Lub Hnub Hodl tus kws tshaj lij pabcuam kev nqis peev. Thov nco ntsoov tias Lub Hnub Hodl koom nrog kev koom ua lag luam.
Cov Duab Tshwj Xeeb: Shutterstock/studiostoks
Tau qhov twg los: https://dailyhodl.com/2022/01/28/bitcoin-is-trading-at-a-loss-and-ethereum-is-oversold-according-to-kraken-heres-what-could-happen- tom ntej no/