Qhov taw qhia Bitcoin on-chain yog tam sim no tsim cov qauv uas yav dhau los ua rau muaj kev lag luam tseem ceeb ntawm cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin 100-Hnub SMA Supply Kho Dormancy tau nrawm nrawm
Raws li tau hais los ntawm tus kws tshuaj ntsuam hauv CryptoQuant ncej, qhov muag tawm tuaj yeem muaj peev xwm muaj zog dua li qhov pom nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2018. Lub tswv yim tseem ceeb ntawm no yog "hnub npib," uas yog tus nqi ntawm 1 BTC sau tom qab zaum tseem ntawm cov saw rau 1 hnub. Yog li, thaum lub token nyob twj ywm rau qee cov hnub, nws tau txais nyiaj npib hnub ntawm tib tus nqi.
Txawm li cas los xij, thaum lub npib no thaum kawg txav mus, nws cov hnub npib ib txwm rov qab mus rau xoom, thiab cov hnub npib uas nws tau sau yav dhau los tau hais tias raug rhuav tshem. Qhov taw qhia hu ua "Npib Hnub Tuag” (CDD) ntsuas tag nrho cov nyiaj npib hnub no raug rhuav tshem los ntawm kev hloov pauv ntawm tag nrho Bitcoin network.
Thaum CDD muab faib los ntawm tag nrho cov nyiaj npib tau koom nrog hauv kev lag luam, ib qho kev ntsuas tshiab hu ua "qhov nruab nrab dormancy" tau txais. Qhov kev ntsuas no muaj npe vim tias nws qhia peb li cas dormant qhov nruab nrab npib pauv ntawm cov saw tam sim no yog (raws li dormancy tsis muaj dab tsi tab sis pes tsawg hnub npib).
Thaum qhov nruab nrab dormancy siab, nws txhais tau hais tias cov nyiaj npib hloov tam sim no muaj hnub nyoog ntawm qhov nruab nrab. Ntawm qhov tod tes, tus nqi qis txhais tau tias cov tub ua lag luam tam sim no hloov cov nyiaj npib uas lawv nyuam qhuav tau txais xwb.
Tam sim no, ntawm no yog ib daim ntawv qhia uas qhia cov qauv hauv 100-hnub yooj yim txav nruab nrab (SMA) Bitcoin dormancy nyob rau ob peb xyoos dhau los:
100-hnub SMA tus nqi ntawm qhov ntsuas zoo li tau siab heev nyob rau hnub tsis ntev los no | Qhov chaw: CryptoQuant
Nco ntsoov tias cov version ntawm metric nyob rau hauv daim duab yog qhov tseeb cov khoom-kho dormancy, uas yog tsuas yog xam los ntawm kev faib cov thawj qhov taw qhia los ntawm tag nrho cov nyiaj ntawm Bitcoin mov uas tam sim no nyob rau hauv kev.
Yog vim li cas tom qab qhov kev hloov pauv no nyob rau hauv qhov tseeb tias cov khoom siv ntawm lub crypto tsis tas li, tab sis hloov mus nrog lub sijhawm. Yog li, kev suav nyiaj rau qhov kev hloov kho no ua rau nws kom qhov kev sib piv nrog cov voj voog yav dhau los ua tau yooj yim dua.
Raws li koj tuaj yeem pom hauv daim ntawv qhia saum toj no, Bitcoin muab-kho hloov dormancy tau nyob rau hauv ib qho kev nce siab tsis tu ncua txij li qhov qis tau pom tom qab FTX sib tsoo. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias cov khoom qub tau saib xyuas kev ua haujlwm nce siab tsis ntev los no, qhia tias cov cov neeg tuav lub sijhawm ntev tej zaum yuav exerting muag siab ntawm lub khw.
Cov quant sau tseg tias qhov sib xws ntawm qhov taw qhia kuj tau pom rov qab rau lub Yim Hli 2018, qhov twg qhov ntsuas tau pib ntawm qhov nce siab los ntawm qhov qis pom thaum ntxov ntawm lub hli. Peb lub hlis tom qab qhov kev nce siab no tau pib, BTC tau pom nws cov ceg zaum kawg ntawm lub lag luam dais, thaum lub sij hawm sib tsoo ntawm Kaum ib hlis 2018.
Yog tias qhov kev sib tw dhau los no yog dab tsi los ntawm, ces Bitcoin tuaj yeem muaj kev pheej hmoo rau lwm qhov muag sai sai. Thiab txij li thaum lub uptrend nyob rau hauv lub metric lub sij hawm nyob ib ncig ntawm yog txawm sharper, ib tug muaj peev xwm plunge tej zaum yuav ntxaum thiab.
BTC Nqe
Thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, Bitcoin ua lag luam nyob ib puag ncig $ 20,900, nce 11% hauv lub lim tiam dhau los.
Zoo li BTC tau poob qis hauv ob peb hnub dhau los | Qhov chaw: BTCUSD ntawm TradingView
Cov duab tshwj xeeb los ntawm Kev xav Catalog ntawm Unsplash.com, kab kos los ntawm TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com
Tau qhov twg los: https://newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-danget-selloff-metric-suggests/