Bitcoin hash tus nqi yuav pom 'me me capitulation' nrog nyuaj teeb tsa rau lub sijhawm tshiab siab

Bitcoin (BTC) teeb tsa lub siab tshiab txhua lub sijhawm rau hash tus nqi lub lim tiam dhau los, tab sis kev xav tau muab faib ua seb qhov kev nce siab tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv mus ntxiv.

Hauv kev sib cav Twitter thaum Lub Peb Hlis 21, Preston Pysh, tus tswv tsev ntawm Tus Neeg Ua Lag Luam Podcast, eyed hloov tus cwj pwm hauv Bitcoin's hash ribbons metric rau cov cim qhia ntawm tus lej hash tshiab "lull."

Cov lus nug dhau "lull" hauv tus lej hash tom qab cov ntaub ntawv siab

Bitcoin tau kov yeej qhov tsis txaus ntseeg ntau xyoo dhau los kom pom lub zog ua haujlwm rau kev tsuas - hash tus nqi - ncav cuag qhov loj heev 222 exahashes ib ob (EH / s) lub hlis no, raws li rau kwv yees los ntawm kev saib xyuas cov peev txheej MiningPoolStats.

Thawj Tuam Tshoj sparking a pawg miner exodus, tom qab xyoo no kev tawg ntawm mining hubs hauv Kazakhstan muab tus miv ntawm cov nquab nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm kev ua hauj lwm miner.

Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev rov zoo tag nrho tau tshwm sim rau ob lub sijhawm, txhawb lub tswv yim tias ntev npaum li muaj tsawg kawg yog ib qho "phooj ywg" txoj cai rau cov neeg ua haujlwm mining, mining yuav rov qab los nyuaj dua li yav dhau los.

Hash ribbons siv ob qhov yooj yim txav nruab nrab (SMAs) ntawm tus nqi hash los ntsuas kev noj qab haus huv miner thiab tau siv los txiav txim siab thaum cov nqi qis qis nyob ze raws li kev noj qab haus huv.

Cov miners muaj tus nqi sib tw rau kev tsim txhua Bitcoin, thiab thaum tus nqi ntawm qhov chaw qis dua tus nqi ntawd, qhov txaus ntshai tshwm sim uas lawv yuav pib "capitulate," lossis tso tseg kev ua haujlwm vim tsis muaj txiaj ntsig. Qhov no muaj qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev txo nqi kev ua tau zoo, thiab kev hloov pauv hauv Bitcoin network nyuaj yog xav tau los txo qis cov miners 'cov nqi tsim khoom ntau.

Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm hash ribbons, thaum 30-hnub SMA hla hauv 60-hnub SMA, qhov no qhia txog qhov kev tshwm sim capitulation - tsawg kawg loj txaus los ntsuas - tau tshwm sim.

"Ib qho yooj yim 1- thiab 2-hli yooj yim txav nruab nrab ntawm Bitcoin tus lej hash tuaj yeem siv los txheeb xyuas cov lag luam hauv qab, miner capitulation thiab - txawm zoo dua - lub sijhawm zoo los yuav Bitcoin," Charles Edwards, CEO ntawm cov cuab yeej cuab tam Capriole, uas tsim lub metric, piav qhia hauv blog ncej hauv 2019.

"Thaum 1-hli SMA ntawm Hash Rate hla dhau 2-hli SMA ntawm Hash Rate, qhov phem tshaj plaws ntawm cov miner capitulation feem ntau dhau lawm, thiab kev rov qab pib dua."

Lub sijhawm no, cov xwm txheej hauv Kazakhstan tuaj yeem tsim qhov tshwm sim rau qhov kev tshwm sim capitulation, uas muaj, txawm li cas los xij, twb tau raug tshem tawm ntawm kev nce qib hash.

“Cov paj ntoo tseem zoo heev. Tus nqi tsim khoom yog qis-nruab nrab 30s. Hluav taws xob (khiav) tus nqi qis dua 20s, "Edwards teb rau Pysh, hais txog kev xav los ntawm Blockware tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Joe Burnett.

"Kuv xav tias (Burnett's) kev xav rov- Kazakhstan yog qhov laj thawj tshaj plaws. Yog li tej zaum me me capitulation (muab dav macro/kev ua lag luam lub zog). "

Bitcoin hash ribbons vs. BTC / USD daim ntawv. Source: Glassnode

Teeb meem nyuaj rau cov ntaub ntawv siab

Nws tsis yog tus nqi hash xwb: Mining nyuaj kuj yog nyiam ib qho kev sib tw yeej uas zoo li yuav rov pib dua lub hlis no tom qab nws qhov kev sib sau ua ke luv luv.

Related: Bitcoin ' tuaj yeem pom tau yooj yim $ 30K' nrog cov khoom lag luam vim 30% rub tawm hauv 2022 - Tus kws tshuaj ntsuam

Raws li qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws ntawm Bitcoin cov ntsiab lus qhia, qhov nyuaj yog teem kom nce los ntawm ib qho kwv yees 4.66% ntawm kev hloov kho qhov hloov kho tom ntej hauv yim hnub 'lub sijhawm.

Ob qhov kev hloov kho zaum kawg yog ob qho tib si tsis zoo, tab sis tsuas yog, txhais tau hais tias qhov kev nce qib tom ntej no yuav xa qhov nyuaj rau qhov tshiab txhua lub sijhawm ntawm 28.73 trillion.

Bitcoin nyuaj 7-hnub txav nruab nrab daim duab. Source: Blockchain