Bitcoin ua tsis tiav los tuav nws 'Reversion To The Mean' ntawm lub lim tiam no qhib. Yuav Ua Li Cas Ua Lag Luam Tam Sim No?

Bitcoin
BTC
/US Dollar FX Spot Rate
(BTC =) pib lub lim tiam no hauv qab nws 200-lub lim tiam yooj yim txav nruab nrab ntawm 22,693.30, uas kuv xav tias nws "rov qab mus rau qhov txhais tau tias." Nws tau teeb tsa nws txhua lub sijhawm siab ntawm 68,999.99 lub lim tiam ntawm lub Kaum Ib Hlis 14, 2021. Los ntawm qhov siab BTC tau teeb tsa nws 2022 qis ntawm 17,588.88 lub lim tiam ntawm Lub Rau Hli 19, 2022. Qhov no yog qhov poob loj ntawm 74.5%.

Lub lim tiam ntawm Lub Xya Hli 24, qhov rov qab siab yog 24,738.46. Qhov no yog qhov nce ntawm 40.6%. BTC yog qis dua nws qhov pivot txhua xyoo ntawm 33,032 thiab siab dua nws cov nqi txhua lub lim tiam thiab txhua hli ntawm 16,729 thiab 14,202, raws li.

Daim Ntawv Qhia Txhua Hnub rau Bitcoin

Bitcoin tau teeb tsa nws tag nrho-tine intraday siab ntawm 68,999.99 Kaum Ib Hlis 10, 2021. Qhov no yog qhov tsis zoo 'tseem ceeb thim rov qab' hnub li qhov kaw hnub ntawd ntawm 64,268.40 yog qis dua hnub ua ntej qis ntawm 66,106.95.

Thaum lub sijhawm poob qis txij thaum ntawd los muaj kev tuag hla tau tshwm sim thaum Lub Ib Hlis 15,2022, 50 thaum 200-hnub yooj yim txav nruab nrab poob qis dua XNUMX-hnub yooj yim txav nruab nrab. Tus ntoo khaub lig tuag no tseem nyob hauv daim duab hnub no.

Tom qab kev lag luam qis li 32,950.72 thaum Lub Ib Hlis 24, 2022, BTC rov qab mus rau 48,226.46 ze li kev sim nws 200-hnub SMA ntawm 48,253.93 rau Lub Peb Hlis 28. BTC tom qab poob rau nws 2022 qis ntawm 17,588.88 Lub Rau Hli.

50-hnub thiab 200-hnub SMAs yog tam sim no ntawm 22,184 thiab 34,616. Cov kab kab rov tav los ntawm sab saum toj mus rau hauv qab yog qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm peb lub hlis twg ntawm 58,902, theem kev pheej hmoo ib nrab ntawm 44,242 thiab nws qhov pivot txhua xyoo ntawm 33,032.

Daim ntawv qhia Txhua Lub Limtiam rau Bitcoin

Daim ntawv qhia txhua lub lim tiam rau bitcoin tseem tsis zoo tab sis oversold. Nws yog qis dua nws tsib lub lis piam hloov pauv qhov nruab nrab ntawm 23747 thiab qis dua nws 200-lub lim tiam yooj yim txav nruab nrab lossis 'rov qab mus rau qhov nruab nrab' ntawm 22,692. Tus nqi txhua lub lim tiam thiab ib hlis yog qhia ntawm 16,729 thiab 14,202.

Lub 12x3x3 lub lis piam qeeb stochastic theem yog nce ntawm 16.21 uas ua rau bitcoin oversold. Kev nyeem ntawv hauv qab 15.00 ntawm qhov ntsuas ntawm 00.00 txog 100.00 ua rau bitcoin ' pheej yig heev tsis quav ntsej.' Nws tau qis dua qhov tseem ceeb no lub lim tiam dhau los.

Kev Lag Luam Zoo: Yuav bitcoin ntawm qhov tsis muaj zog rau nws cov nqi txhua lub lim tiam thiab txhua hli ntawm 16,729 thiab 14,202. Txo qhov tuav ntawm lub zog rau qhov pivot txhua xyoo ntawm 33,032.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/2022/07/25/bitcoin-failed-to-hold-its-reversion-to-the-mean-at-this-weeks-open-how- rau-kev lag luam-nws-tam sim no /