(Bloomberg) - Bitcoin tau tawg tawm ntawm nws qhov kev lag luam nqaim tshaj plaws hauv lub hlis hauv hnub poob ntawm lub Peb Hlis tom qab pib nyuaj rau lub xyoo. Tam sim no, raws li digital token mus txog lwm qhov tseem ceeb trendline, cov tub ua lag luam xav paub seb lawv puas tau teeb tsa rau kev poob siab dua.
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Nrog rau qhov loj tshaj plaws cryptocurrency nyob ze rau sab saum toj ntawm $ 30,000 txog $ 50,000 ntau yam nws tau kwv yees lub lis piam dhau los, Michael Novogratz tau hais rau hnub Thursday tias nws tau "tsim ntau dua" ntawm crypto thaum tseem tsis tau muab kev kwv yees tshiab. Tus neeg ua lag luam billionaire tau ceeb toom ua ntej tsis txhob cia siab tias yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig loj hauv 2022 nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve nce cov paj paj.
Bitcoin pauv nyob rau hauv 10% ntawm nws 50-hnub tus nqi nruab nrab rau 51 hnub txog rau lub Peb Hlis 26, qhov ntev tshaj plaws ntawm kev lag luam nruj txij thaum Lub Xya Hli 2020, raws li cov ntaub ntawv sau los ntawm Bloomberg. Lub breakout lub asthiv dhau los tau tshem tawm kev poob rau lub xyoo tab sis tshuav Bitcoin tseem ua lag luam txog 30% qis dua nws cov ntaub ntawv siab tau teem rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis.
Tam sim no, nws tab tom mus txog qhov twg yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb tshaj qhov pib - nws tus nqi nruab nrab tshaj 200 hnub. Cov npib muaj, txog rau hnub Friday, pauv qis dua qhov pib rau 95 hnub, qhov ntev tshaj plaws ntawm cov qauv bearish txij li lub Plaub Hlis 2019. Tom qab tuaj nyob rau hauv 1% ntawm nws 200-hnub nruab nrab ntawm lub Peb Hlis 28, tam sim no zaum txog 4% tam sim no.
Cov cuab tam digital, zoo li ntau lwm qhov chaw muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev ua lag luam, tau raug cuam tshuam los ntawm Fed ua haujlwm ntawm kev cuam tshuam kev nce nyiaj txiag, nrog rau kev kub ntxhov tshwm sim los ntawm Russia qhov tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm Ukraine. Qhov ntawd tshuav Bitcoin bobbing nce thiab nqis txhua xyoo.
Chris Kline, COO thiab co-founder ntawm Bitcoin IRA hais tias "Nws zoo li muaj ntau qhov chaw uas Bitcoin pib zoo li pong game." "Muaj lub taub hau hla kev lag luam, tsis yog hauv crypto xwb. Peb tau txais kev nce nqi uas tsis yog hloov pauv. Muaj qhov tsis paub meej nyob ib puag ncig tus nqi nce thiab kev sib tham txog kev lag luam poob qis. Muaj ntau qhov tos ntawm sab nraud. "
Cov neeg saib xyuas kev ua lag luam pom cov lus piav qhia uas tau nrov xyoo no: tias Bitcoin tau txav mus rau tib txoj kev uas cov khoom lag luam yog. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm raws li qhov nyiaj npib mini-surge hauv lub Peb Hlis, S&P 500 tau nce 6% thiab sib npaug ntawm nws lub hli zoo tshaj plaws ntawm lub xyoo. 90-hnub correlation coefficient ntawm cov nyiaj npib thiab cov khoom lag luam ntsuas tam sim no sawv ntawm 0.55, ntawm qhov kev nyeem ntawv siab tshaj plaws txij li Bloomberg pib taug qab cov ntaub ntawv. (Ib coefficient ntawm 1 txhais tau hais tias cov cuab tam tau tsiv mus nyob rau hauv lockstep, thaum rho tawm-1 yuav qhia tau tias lawv nyob rau hauv opposite lus qhia.)
UBS cov kws tshaj lij suav nrog James Malcolm thiab Alexey Ostapchuk, hais tias nws nyuaj rau nrhiav pov thawj ntawm kev nqa dav dav hauv kev txaus siab nyob ib puag ncig cryptocurrencies. Lawv hais txog kev tshawb nrhiav hauv online tsis txaus siab, thiab txo qis cov khoom lag luam yav tom ntej thiab nyiaj txiag.
“Yog tias koj nyuam qhuav saib cov kab kos no, koj yuav hais tias 'Mus tseg, tsis muaj dab tsi tshwm sim. Ua kom kuv tsaug zog lwm lub sijhawm,' "Malcolm, tus thawj coj ntawm kev sib pauv txawv teb chaws thiab kev tshawb fawb crypto ntawm lub txhab nyiaj, hais hauv xov tooj. Nws piav txog Bitcoin kev lag luam yog "tseem bang hauv nruab nrab ntawm qhov ntau," thiab hais tias nws tau ua raws li nws qhov kev xav xyoo yuav yog ib qho nyuaj rau cryptos.
Malcolm hais tias peb nyob rau lub sijhawm thaum ob tus bulls thiab dais tuaj yeem tuaj nrog cov lus piav qhia. "Yog tias koj xav qhia zaj dab neeg tsis zoo, peb tseem poob qis 35% txij lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Yog tias koj xav qhia zaj dab neeg zoo, peb tau nce 45% "los ntawm lub Ib Hlis qis.
Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas ntawm Citibank coj los ntawm Alexander Saunders thiab Hannah Sheetz tau saib plaub tus qauv, suav nrog cov khoom lag luam-rau-khiav, sim ua kom muaj nuj nqis ntawm cov nyiaj npib, los ntawm thaj tsam ntawm $ 20,000 thiab $ 152,000.
Kom paub meej, cov khoom lag luam crypto tseem pom kev nkag mus, nrog Bloomberg cov ntaub ntawv sau los ntawm UBS qhia cov cuab yeej cuab tam digital ETFs nyiam kwv yees li $ 550 lab hauv ob lub lis piam dhau los. Qhov ntawd tsis suav nrog cov khoom tshiab Solana los ntawm CoinShares uas tau txais ib puag ncig $ 100 lab raws li kev tswj hwm, UBS tau hais.
Qhov ntawd ua rau ntau tus thawj coj ua lag luam sib tham txog qhov lawv xav kom pom zoo crypto rau lawv cov neeg siv khoom.
"Los ntawm kev nqis peev, nws yuav tsum raug saib raws li ib yam dab tsi uas xav tau ntau heev thiab yuav tsum tsis txhob yog ib feem tseem ceeb ntawm cov neeg siv khoom lag luam vim tias nws cov kev hloov pauv siab heev thiab tsuas yog cov nqi hluav taws xob tsis paub tseeb dhau sijhawm," Jeremy Zirin, tus thawj coj loj ntawm cov ntaub ntawv thiab Tus thawj coj ntawm tus neeg siv khoom ntiag tug US cov khoom lag luam, UBS Asset Management, tau hais hauv xov tooj. "Kuv pom nws ntau dua li qhov kev xav ntawm ib qho ntawm cov ntaub ntawv pov thawj."
Liz Young, tus thawj coj ntawm kev nqis peev zoo ntawm SoFi, hais tias vim tias crypto yog cov cuab yeej cuab tam tshiab, nws yuav pom ntau qhov tsis hloov pauv. Lub sijhawm tam sim no tab tom teeb tsa keeb kwm yav dhau los thiab cov tub ua lag luam thiab cov kws tshaj lij tab tom sim xyuas seb Bitcoin coj li cas thaum lub sijhawm sib txawv ntawm lub voj voog kev lag luam thiab qhov nws cuam tshuam nrog. Tab sis vim tias nws tseem tshiab rau cov tub ua lag luam, nws nyuaj rau sau npe tias nws yog ib qho nyiaj txiag hedge lossis lub khw muag khoom muaj nqis. "Nws zoo li ua txhua yam ntawm cov ntsiab lus sib txawv hauv lub sijhawm."
"Kuv qhia rau cov neeg uas nyiam crypto txiaj tias nws tsis ua haujlwm kom muaj ib feem me me ntawm koj cov ntaub ntawv khaws cia hauv nws," nws hais. “Kuv tsis xav tias nws yog chav kawm khoom vaj khoom tsev uas yuav ploj mus. Kuv xav tias nws nyob ntawm no thiab nws nyob ntawm no, tab sis nws yuav dhau los ntawm ntau qhov sib txawv ntawm cov nqi nrhiav pom hauv ob peb xyoos tom ntej no. "
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