Txawm hais tias niaj hnub no kev lag luam macroeconomic kev loj hlob, tus nqi ntawm Bitcoin txuas ntxiv mus rau sab thiab zoo li yuav nyob ntawm txoj kev no. Tus naj npawb ib crypto los ntawm kev ua lag luam cap tau pom nws qhov volatility poob mus rau qhov qis qis vim nws tus nqi raug kaw nyob rau theem tam sim no.
Thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, Bitcoin pauv ntawm $ 26,600 nrog rau kev txav mus los hauv 24 teev dhau los. Tshaj li xya hnub dhau los, lub cryptocurrency tau sau qee qhov txiaj ntsig tab sis tsis tuaj yeem tawg saum toj lossis qis dua $ 28,000 txog $ 30,500 ntau yam.
Ib qho tshiab rau Bitcoin? Volatility Zoo li yuav poob mus txog qhov hloov pauv no
Analyst Dylan LeClair taw tes tawm uas cov tswv lag luam hauv cov khoom lag luam derivatives tau tswj hwm tus nqi Bitcoin tam sim no. Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, lub BTC qhov chaw-rau-derivative trading ntim piv tau ua raws li volatility thiab tsis kam mus rau txhua lub sij hawm lows.
Raws li pom nyob rau hauv daim ntawv qhia hauv qab no, qhov piv txwv no qhia tau hais tias qhov chaw lag luam tau raug txwv los ntawm cov khoom lag luam, nrog cov tub lag luam "tso ib leeg rau oblivion." LeClair tau hais hauv qab no:
(…) Cov chaw dais feem ntau tau khiav tawm ntawm cov nyiaj npib & qhov chaw bulls tau siv tag nrho lossis raug tso tseg TradFi tos rau ETF pom zoo.
Nrog rau Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve (Fed) tawm ntawm kev sib kho kom txog rau thaum lub Cuaj Hli thiab tsis muaj kev tsis txaus ntseeg nyob rau lub sij hawm luv luv, tus nqi ntawm Bitcoin zoo li npaj txhij kom chopping nyob ib ncig ntawm nws cov qib tam sim no.
Nyob rau hauv ib puag ncig no, derivatives tub luam yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev muag volatility ntawm cov cuab yeej nyiaj txiag sib txawv. Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm lub derivatives platform Deribit qhia tau hais tias ib qho uptick nyob rau hauv hu (yuav) ntawv cog lus ntawm cov kev xaiv sectors rau lub kaum hli ntuj mus rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis tas sij hawm.
Ib tsab ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm lub platform no los ntawm Rogue Trader Academy qhia txog qhov xav tau rau lub zog los thawb BTC tawm ntawm nws qhov tam sim no. Kev ua lag luam tab tom tso nws tus kheej rau qhov chaw Bitcoin Txiaj Ntsig Kev Lag Luam (ETF) kev pom zoo hauv Q4, 2023, yog li vim li cas cov neeg ua si ntawm cov kev xaiv lag luam tau sau hu.
Muag volatility yog ib lub tswv yim muaj txiaj ntsig thaum Lub Xya Hli. Tseem, raws li cov metric hovers nyob ib ncig ntawm keeb kwm lows, cov tub luam ua ntau dua los pov tseg lawv cov ntawv cog lus ntawm derivatives sector, ntxiv suppressing BTC tus nqi. Rogue Trader Academy tau hais tias:
(…) cov muag volatility (gamma sellers) tab tom loj hlob tsis txaus siab rau offload ntawm xws li keeb kwm qis implied vol theem, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nrog cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb xws li US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ntawm lub qab ntug rau lub lim tiam no.
Nyob rau hauv qhov tsis tshua muaj hluav taws xob tsis zoo, ib puag ncig tsis muaj peev xwm, tsuas yog ib qho catalyst yuav thawb BTC tshaj $ 30,000 thiab tshaj $ 40,000 thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo. Ib yam dab tsi zoo li pom tseeb hauv cov ntsiab lus no: Bitcoin zoo li ua ntej ntawm cov lus piav qhia bullish thiab zoo li yuav ua tau zoo dua hauv kev lag luam rau qhov seem ntawm 2023.
Npog duab los ntawm Unsplash, daim duab los ntawm Tradingview
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-bears-ran-out-of-coins-what-this-analyst-forecast-for-btc-at-around-30000/