Bitcoin nquag chaw nyob 'kev txhawj xeeb' tus kws tshuaj ntsuam txawm tias 50% BTC tus nqi nce

Kev tshawb fawb ceeb toom tias Bitcoin (BTC) tseem tsis muaj qhov ntim ntawm cov saw hlau thiab qhov chaw nyob ua haujlwm nce ntxiv uas qhia txog kev lag luam bull.

Nyob rau hauv kev ntsuam xyuas ncaj ncees ntawm 2023 BTC tus nqi rov qab, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant ceeb toom tias Bitcoin yuav tsis muaj zog dua li nws zoo li.

Active chaw nyob tsis luam bull market paradigm

Raws li on-chain metrics tig ntsuab thiab qee qhov txawm tias flash bull signals tsis pom nyob rau hauv lub xyoo, ib koob tshuaj noj qab haus huv ntawm kev tsis txaus ntseeg tseem nyob ntawm ntau tus kws tshuaj ntsuam.

CryptoQuant contributor Yonsei_dent yog ntawm lawv, sau rau hauv ib qho ntawm lub platform Quicktake blog tshaj tawm lub lim tiam no uas 2023 tsis chim nrog kev lag luam bull yav dhau los.

Qhov teeb meem, nws piav qhia, lus dag nyob rau hauv cov chaw nyob, uas tsis tau nce ntxiv txawm tias BTC / USD tau txais yuav luag 50% xyoo dhau los.

"Active Addresses yog ib qho kev ntsuas uas suav nrog txhua qhov chaw xa thiab tau txais BTC, muab saib seb qhov kev xav tau ntawm kev lag luam yog li cas," blog post nyeem.

"Tus 'tus nqi' ntawm cov cuab tam yog txiav txim los ntawm cov cai ntawm kev muab khoom thiab kev xav tau hauv khw. Crypto kev lag luam tsis muaj qhov zam. Rau cov cuab yeej cuab tam tus nqi nce, kev lag luam paj paj thiab kev thov yuav tsum tau txais kev txhawb nqa. "

Daim ntawv qhia nrog qhia tau hais tias 30-hnub txav nruab nrab (MA) ntawm cov chaw nyob nce ntxiv tom qab kawg ntawm 2018 dais lag luam thiab lub Peb Hlis 2020 COVID-19 kev lag luam sib tsoo. 2023, los ntawm qhov sib txawv, tseem tsis tau tsim cov qauv zoo ib yam.

"Koj tuaj yeem pom tias Chaw Nyob Ua Haujlwm (30DMA) nce ob qho tib si thaum lub sijhawm xyoo 2019 kev lag luam bull turnaround thiab thaum tawm ntawm 2020 COVID-19 poob siab," Yonsei_dent ntxiv.

"Kuv txhawj xeeb tias qhov kev tawm tsam xyoo 2023 no tsis pom muaj qhov nce hauv Chaw Nyob Ua Haujlwm."

Bitcoin active chaw nyob annotated daim ntawv (screenshot). Tau qhov twg los: CryptoQuant

Muaj ntau qhov kev hloov pauv, tsis muaj ntim ntau

Lwm qhov kev tshawb fawb tau tsim cov lus xaus zoo sib xws txog tus cwj pwm ntawm tus neeg ua lag luam Bitcoin, uas tau nrog rov qab mus rau $ 25,000.

Related: Ib 'snap rov qab' rau $ 20K? 5 yam uas yuav tsum paub hauv Bitcoin lub lim tiam no

Lub tuam txhab Analytics Glassnode sau tseg tias qhov ntim ntawm cov saw hlau tseem qis, nrog rau ob tus neeg tuav lub sijhawm ntev (LTHs) thiab cov tuav lub sijhawm luv (STHs) tsis kam siv.

"Txawm hais tias muaj kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam hauv kev lag luam, thiab ATH hauv tag nrho UTXOs, kev hloov pauv tau zoo heev, ob qho tib si rau Cov Neeg Ua Haujlwm Ntev thiab luv luv," nws sau nyob rau hauv tsab xov xwm tshiab ntawm nws tsab ntawv xov xwm txhua lub lim tiam, "Lub Limtiam On-Chain."

Bitcoin siv cov tub ntxhais hluas npib ntim cov lus piav qhia (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

Muaj qee qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawm kev txhim kho kev xav, nrog cov nyiaj npib xa mus rau kev sib pauv los ntawm LTHs tam sim no feem ntau tau txais txiaj ntsig.

Nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Ib Hlis, Glassnode qhia tau hais tias 58% ntawm LTH npib xa mus rau kev sib pauv tau tsiv ntawm qhov poob, thaum pib ntawm lub lim tiam no, daim duab tsuas yog 21%.

Bitcoin txheeb ze tus neeg tuav lub sijhawm ntev pom tau tias poob los pauv daim ntawv teev npe (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

Cov kev xav, cov kev xav thiab kev xav ntawm no yog tus sau phau ntawv ib leeg thiab tsis tas yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam lossis sawv cev ntawm kev pom thiab kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.