Bitcoin 2021 bull market buyers 'capitulate' raws li cov ntaub ntawv qhia 50% poob

Bitcoin tus (BTC) qhov chaw ua lag luam qis dua $ 20,000 yog pom qhov tshiab "capitulation" tshwm sim suav nrog tag nrho lub xyoo tsim nyog ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom, kev tshawb fawb qhia.

Hauv ib qho ntawm nws Quicktake kev lag luam hloov tshiab rau lub Cuaj Hlis 29, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant chij khaus muag los ntawm ib tug loj tus naj npawb ntawm hodlers tsis ntev los no.

2021 bull market npib "tau raug muag aggressively"

Raws li BTC / USD lingers nyob ze rau theem tsis tshua pom txij li xyoo 2020, nws tsis yog cov miners xwb hnov lub pinch.

Txheeb xyuas Bitcoin's Exchange Inflow Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB), CryptoQuant contributor Edris tau qhia tias cov neeg uas yuav thaum lub Plaub Hlis 2021 thiab Plaub Hlis 2022 tau muag npib en masse - tsawg dua lawv yuav lawv.

"Saib ntawm daim ntawv qhia, nws pom tseeb tias cov nyiaj npib hnub nyoog ntawm 6-18 lub hlis dhau los tau raug muag tsis ntev los no," nws xaus lus.

"Cov npib no tau yuav thaum lub Plaub Hlis 2021 thiab Plaub Hlis 2022 ntawm tus nqi siab dua $ 30K. Qhov teeb meem no txhais tau hais tias ntau tus neeg tuav khoom uas tau nkag mus rau hauv kev ua lag luam thaum xyoo 2021 lub khw muag nyuj thiab siab dua $ 30K cim, tsis ntev los no tau capitulated thiab tawm hauv khw ntawm kwv yees li 50% poob. "

Bitcoin pauv inflow Siv Cov Khoom Siv Hnub Nyoog (SOAB) daim ntawv qhia (screenshot). Tau qhov twg los: CryptoQuant

Cov xwm txheej zoo li no yuav tsum tsis txhob ua teeb meem vim tias lawv zoo li tshwm sim hauv qab ntawm kev lag luam dais. Tib lo lus nug yog seb qhov macro hauv qab tsis ntev los no nyob rau lub Rau Hli ntawm $ 17,600 yuav yog qhov no hauv pem teb.

Edris ntxiv:

"Cov hom kev capitulations zoo li tshwm sim nyob rau lub hli dhau los ntawm lub lag luam dais, taw qhia rau qhov muaj peev xwm tsim hauv qab nyob rau yav tom ntej." 

Kev ceeb toom nyiaj tau raws li cov peev nyiaj tau los

Tshawb nrhiav Bitcoin's Spend Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) metric, lub sijhawm no, tus khub CryptoQuant contributor Caue Oliveira tseem ceeb lwm keeb kwm dais lag luam sib rov ua nws tus kheej.

Related: Bitcoin nqi vim 'loj pob tseg' tom qab dhau $ 20K, ceeb toom tub luam

SOPR faib tus nqi them rau tus nqi ntawm BTC los ntawm tus nqi uas nws muag ntawm. Cov txiaj ntsig tau hloov pauv nyob ib puag ncig 1, nrog cov txiaj ntsig hauv qab no qhia txog kev lag luam dais raws li cov tub ua lag luam begrudgingly lub xub pwg nyom poob.

raws li rau cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm cov phooj ywg ntawm-chain analytics tuam txhab Glassnode, txij li lub Cuaj Hlis 29, qhov chaw hloov kho SOPR tsuas yog dhau 0.95.

Cov metric yog trending rov qab mus rau 1, tau pom ib tug hauv zos hauv qab nyob rau hauv Lub rau hli ntuj, qhia hais tias lub prime purchase lub sij hawm yuav tau tsoo.

Oliveira tau sau tias "Saib ntawm kev siv nyiaj ntawm cov saw hlau ntawm cov neeg tuav lub sijhawm ntev, ntsuas los ntawm Kev Tshaj Tawm Cov Nyiaj Tau Los...

"Keeb kwm cov ntsiab lus no yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws kev pheej hmoo-kho nkag nkag hauv ob lub lag luam dais kawg."

Saib tom ntej, "qhov siab tshaj plaws taw tes" rau cov neeg tuav lub sijhawm ntev (LTHs) yog nyob rau ntawm daim npav, nws hais ntxiv, hais txog kev muag khoom siab qis dua li SOPR ntiv tes siab dua.

Bitcoin qhov chaw-hloov Kev Tshaj Tawm Tshaj Tawm Cov Nyiaj Tau Los (SOPR) daim ntawv qhia. Source: Glassnode

Cov kev xav thiab cov kev xav hais tawm ntawm no tsuas yog cov ntawm tus sau thiab tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam cov kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.com. Txhua qhov kev nqis peev thiab kev lag luam tawm mus cuam tshuam nrog kev pheej hmoo, koj yuav tsum ua koj tus kheej kev tshawb fawb thaum txiav txim siab.