Bitcoin (BTC) pib lub lim tiam dhau los ntawm Lub Ob Hlis nyob rau hauv lub siab tsis zoo vim qhov chaw tseem ceeb ntawm kev tiv thaiv tsis ua txhaum.
Tom qab ib qho classic "fakeout" thaum lub sijhawm ua lag luam qis qis, BTC / USD rov qab qis dua $ 25,000 nrog bulls tseem tsis muaj lub zog.
Qhov loj tshaj plaws cryptocurrency pom dab tsi zoo li theem tom ntej ntawm nws 2023 rov qab lub lim tiam dhau los, ua kom nrawm nrawm thiab txawm tias tapping tshiab rau lub hlis siab.
Lub sijhawm zoo tsis tau txuas ntxiv, txawm li cas los xij, thiab Lub Ob Hlis txoj kev vam meej tau qeeb qeeb thiab nyuaj yeej tshaj li lub Ib Hlis qhov nce 40%. Yuav ua li cas lub sij hawm so ntawm lub hli?
Qhov tseem ceeb txhua hli yuav raug kaw, nrog rau qhov muaj peev xwm ua rau tus nqi sab nraud hauv daim ntawv feeb los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas Federal Reserve.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin network fundamentals yog vim leap mus rau lwm lub sij hawm siab, thiab miners yog nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov rov qab hom.
Cointelegraph saib cov xwm txheej no thiab ntau ntxiv hauv cov ntsiab lus ntawm BTC tus nqi kev xav rau lub lim tiam kawg ntawm Lub Ob Hlis.
RSI "kev sib cav sib ceg" ua rau lub tswb nrov
Tom qab feem ntau nyob ntsiag to pib rau lub asthiv tom qab hnub ntawm cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam macroeconomic tshwm sim, Bitcoin tau sawv lig rau hnub Sunday kom nce siab dua $ 25,000.
Qhov no tsis yog qhov kawg, txawm li cas los xij, thiab raws li Cointelegraph qhia, kos npe rau ntawm kev sib pauv kev txiav txim phau ntawv taw qhia rau manipulative txav los ntawm cov neeg lag luam loj.
Kev rov qab los tom ntej tom qab kaw txhua lub limtiam coj BTC / USD qis dua $ 24,000 ua ntej rov qab mus rau tib theem li hnub Saturday, qhov uas khub tseem tau pauv thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Cointelegraph Ciaj uas muag Pro thiab TradingView.
Rau cov tub luam, muaj ib txwm ua rau ceev faj.
"Tsis tau them nyiaj ntau rau lub asthiv PA.. BTC feem ntau txuag nws lub ntsiab lus txav rau US cov sijhawm ua lag luam," Crypto Chase sau hauv ib feem ntawm Twitter cov ntsiab lus.
Kev soj ntsuam cov peev txheej Cov Khoom Siv Taw Qhia, uas thawj zaug tau tshaj tawm cov ntawv xaj kev ua haujlwm, lub sijhawm no tau nug ntev npaum li cas qhov tshwm sim tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv nrog cov bulls tsis muaj zog los ua kom muaj zog ntau dua.
Koj puas xav tias kev txhawb nqa yuav tuav ntawm phab ntsa tsis zoo los ua si qhov ntau dua lossis nws puas yuav spoof thiab pov tseg?
Nco ntsoov #Txhob Cia Siab Kev lag luam raug kaw hnub Monday. Yog tias koj tab tom ua si nrog Notorious BID, tswj koj txoj kev pheej hmoo raws li. pic.twitter.com/ZyZlHTMFWM
- Cov Khoom Siv Cov Lus Qhia (@MI_Algos) Lub ob hlis ntuj 19, 2023
An daim duab ntxiv ntawm phau ntawv txiav txim Binance tau lees paub tias qhov kev txhawb nqa loj, hu ua "phab ntsa sib tw," tau qis dua mus rau $ 23,460, muab qhov chaw nqes mus rau qis dua ib sab.
Cov neeg ua lag luam thiab tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Matthew Hyland tau lees paub tias nws yog "yeeb meem los qhia" seb Bitcoin puas tuaj yeem tawg siab dua ntawm lub sijhawm luv luv.
Tuav thaj tsam ib ncig ntawm $ 22,800 thaum muaj kev thim rov qab, ua raws li qhov tseem ceeb tawg, txawm li cas los xij, "yuav tsis ua rau kuv xav tsis thoob," nws hais tias nyob rau hnub.
Kev txhawj xeeb ntxiv txog lub zog ntawm qhov kev tawm tsam yog Venturefounder, tus pab txhawb rau ntawm-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant.
Hauv xov xwm Twitter, nws tau ceeb toom tias txawm tias lwm yam tseem ceeb xws li "macro tsis muaj zog" tuaj yeem muaj kev cuam tshuam tam sim ntawm kev lag luam crypto.
"Bitcoin bearish RSI divergence txuas ntxiv ... Yuav luag txoj kev sib txawv ntawm lub Tsib Hlis-Lub Xya Hli 2021 lub sijhawm. Kuv xav tias txhua qhov tsis muaj zog macro tuaj yeem muaj BTC rov qab mus rau $ 19-20k sai sai, "ib feem ntawm cov lus Hais.
Venturefounder tau hais txog qhov txheeb ze lub zog Index (RSI) metric, uas ntsuas qhov overbought lossis oversold ib qho cuab tam yog ntawm tus nqi taw tes. Xyoo 2021, RSI tau nce ntxiv piv rau BTC tus nqi kho, qhov no tom qab ntawd xaus rau txhua lub sijhawm tam sim no ntawm $ 69,000 thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis xyoo ntawd.
Txhua qhov muag ntawm FOMC feeb thiab US duas
Yuav ua li cas daim ntawv "tsis muaj zog" ntawm kev lag luam macro tej zaum tseem yuav pom.
Lub lim tiam tom ntej no muaj peev xwm ua rau muaj peev xwm tsawg dua li qhov kawg, nrog rau kev nthuav tawm ntawm US cov ntaub ntawv tso tawm suav nrog kev siv tus kheej hauv daim ntawv ntawm Kev Siv Tus Kheej (PCE) Index.
Qhov kev tshwm sim ntawm feem ntau crypto pundits 'radar, txawm li cas los xij, yog qhov tso tawm cov lus qhia los ntawm Lub Ob Hlis Ntuj Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Qhib Kev Lag Luam (FOMC) lub rooj sib tham ntawm Fed.
Qhov no yog qhov twg qhov ntsuas tshiab kawg paj laum hike tau txiav txim siab, thiab kev cia siab tam sim no yog rau Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell kom muaj kev sib tham ntawm kev ncua sij hawm ntawm txoj cai nce nqi - yog tias tsuas yog kev xav.
"Peb kuj muaj FOMC feeb tso tawm rau hnub Wednesday qhov twg Powell yuav piav qhia txog qhov kev nce qib 'pause' tuaj yeem zoo li cas," Crypto Chase tau hais txog qhov xwm txheej.
"Ib nrab ntawm lub lim tiam tom ntej no yog qhov uas kuv pib xav txog viav vias nkag."
Tsis yog txhua tus neeg ntseeg tias FOMC feeb yuav yog kev caij nkoj yooj yim, txawm li cas los xij. Ntawm lawv yog cov peev txheej tshawb fawb txog kev lag luam nyiaj txiag Capital tshaib plab, uas lub lim tiam no tau ceeb toom tias "kev hloov kho tsis zoo hawkish" yuav raug nthuav tawm.
"Feds nyiag hauv kev hloov kho hawkish tawm ntawm qhov tsom teeb (tsis yog FOMC nquag) nrog kev ua lag luam twb hloov kho CPI thiab Jan daim ntawv tshaj tawm. PCE cov ntaub ntawv pub rau kev nce nyiaj nce siab, "nws sib cav hauv ib feem ntawm Twitter tawm tswv yim.
Ib qho kev rov qab los ntawm kev nce nqi yuav yog ib qho kev txhawb nqa rau US duas lub zog, uas tau siv lub macro trading hnub kawg ntawm lub lim tiam dhau los tshem tawm cov txiaj ntsig ua ntej.
Matthew Dixon, tus tsim thiab CEO ntawm crypto rating platform Evai, tau sau tawm qhov kev poob qis rau US dollar Performance index (DXY), nyob rau hauv dab tsi yuav yog ib tug bullish tailwind rau kev pheej hmoo cov cuab tam nrog rau crypto.
Saib qhov zoo ntawm #DXY kom deb li deb. Yog tias peb twb nyob ntawm txoj kev mus ua kom tiav Y nthwv dej ces qhov no yuav zoo rau #Btc #Eth #crypto thiab cov cuab tam pheej hmoo feem ntau #Evai pic.twitter.com/9OEHTG1d1v
- Matthew Dixon - CEO Evai (@mdtrade) Lub ob hlis ntuj 20, 2023
Analyst: txav nruab nrab "huab" yog qhov yuav tawg
Raws li Cointelegraph txuas ntxiv qhia, Bitcoin bulls muaj qhov teeb meem uas tau dhau los ua pom tseeb ntawm lub sijhawm luv luv - 200-lub lim tiam txav nruab nrab (WMA).
Ib qho classic "dears market" txoj kab, 200WMA tau ua raws li kev tawm tsam txij li nruab nrab ntawm 2022, thiab BTC / USD tau siv sijhawm ntau dua li yav dhau los.
Reclaiming theem yuav cim ib qho kev ua tiav, tab sis txog tam sim no, txhua qhov kev sim tau ntsib nrog kev tsis lees paub.
"Yog tias Bitcoin tswj kom tawg siab dua 200-lub lim tiam MA huab, uas yog qhov yuav nce ntxiv, peb yuav pom ntau dua TradFi kev pab cuam ntawm crypto dua," Caleb Franzen, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas kev lag luam loj ntawm Cubic Analytics, sau ua ke thaum lub weekend.
Franzen kuj tau qhia cov theem ntawm ceg txheem ntseeg nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm luv luv, nrog $ 25,200 lub qab nthab nyob rau hauv kev xav tau ntawm ib tug breakout.
Short-term theem uas #Bitcoin tseem wrestling nrog… pic.twitter.com/Qmx9UBKyht
- Caleb Franzen (@CalebFranzen) Lub ob hlis ntuj 19, 2023
Cov "huab" nws tau hais txog kev koom nrog ntau dua li 200WMA, txawm li cas los xij - Bitcoin's 50WMA yog tam sim no ntawm $ 24,462, coinciding raws nraim nrog tam sim no tus nqi tsom.
Tsis tas li ntawd, nug txog kev sib pauv cov phau ntawv tau teeb tsa nyob ib puag ncig 200WMA, ua rau muaj kev sib tw tam sim no hauv kev tig nws los ntawm kev tiv thaiv kev txhawb nqa.
In kev tshawb fawb luam tawm thaum Lub Ob Hlis 18, Franzen tau piav qhia txog WMA huab yog ib qho ntawm "ob lub cim tseem ceeb ntxiv roj ntxiv rau hluav taws" nrog rau tus nqi paub.
"BTC tau raug tsis lees paub ntawm qhov kev hloov pauv no thawj zaug hauv Lub Yim Hli 2022 thiab tau raug lees paub luv luv ntawm qib no ua ntej lub lim tiam. Thaum nws tuaj yeem tawg saum toj no ntawm qhov kev sim thib ob? nws nug.
Hash tus nqi, nyuaj hauv kab rau cov ntaub ntawv tshiab siab
Nyob rau hauv ib qho kev paub nyiaj hauv kab, Bitcoin's network fundamentals yog ua kom lub bullish vibe khov kho raws li lub hli kos mus rau ib tug ze.
Tom ntej no automated readjustment yuav pom qhov teeb meem ntxiv kwv yees li 10% rau nws cov tally uas twb muaj lawm. Qhov no yuav tshem tawm qhov kev hloov kho yav dhau los qhov kev poob qis kom xa qhov nyuaj rau qhov siab tshiab txhua lub sijhawm.
Qhov no yog ib qho tseem ceeb yardstick rau gauging Bitcoin miner sentiment, raws li xws li loj nce qhia coj mus rau kev nce qib nyob rau hauv kev sib tw rau block nyiaj pab.
Nws los rau hauv qab ntawm nce kev pab them nqi ntawm cov nqi hu ua "ordinals", nrog rau cov miner profitability kom meej meej rov qab los tom qab lub hlis ntawm lub siab.
Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm on-chain analytics firm Tsom iav dais qhov no tawm. Cov miners tau pib khaws ntau BTC dua li lawv muag ntawm dov lub sij hawm txhua hli, nws qhia tau hais tias, thim rov qab cov qauv ntawm kev muag khoom hauv qhov chaw txij thaum nruab nrab Lub Ib Hlis.
Cov ntaub ntawv nyoos los ntawm MiningPoolStats Lub sijhawm no qhia tau hais tias Bitcoin network hash tus nqi kuj tseem khaws nws qhov kev nce siab, tshuav ntawm ntau dua 300 exahashes ib ob (EH / s).
“Tsis txhob tso tseg!” Tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag thiab kws tshuaj ntsuam Jan Wuestenfeld Commented hais txog qhov tshwm sim raws li nws 30-hnub txav nruab nrab nce mus rau qhov siab tshiab txhua lub sijhawm ntawm nws tus kheej lub lim tiam dhau los.
Joe Burnett, tus thawj saib xyuas ntawm Blockware, piav qhia hash tus nqi loj hlob raws li "tsis muaj tseeb tiag."
"Lub 14 hnub txav nruab nrab ntawm tag nrho lub ntiaj teb hashrate tam sim no zaum ntawm ~ 290 EH / s. Bitcoin miners tab tom khawb lub ntiaj teb rau pheej yig, nkim, lub zog ntau dhau, "nws ntxiv nrog rau cov duab Glassnode.
Lub sijhawm ntev Bitcoin kev lag luam koom nrog yuav rov qab los ib zaug nrov kab lus, "nqi raws tus nqi hash," uas postulates tias qhov loj txaus hash tus nqi uptrend muaj qhov cuam tshuam tsis zoo rau BTC tus nqi nqis.
Feem ntau "kev ntshaw" txij li Bitcoin txhua lub sijhawm siab
$ 25,000 yog mob taub hau rau cov laj thawj tshaj li qhov tsis muaj zog - tawg saum toj no tuaj yeem yog qhov tsis muaj txiaj ntsig rau Bitcoin.
Related: Bitcoin qhov kev txiav txim siab tus nqi txuas ntxiv txhawb kev sib tw hauv FIL, OKB, VET thiab RPL
Qhov kev tshawb pom zaum kawg los ntawm kev tshawb fawb lub tuam txhab Santiment qhia tias nyob ib ncig ntawm cov ntau lub hlis siab, crypto kev lag luam kev xav tsuas yog ua rau siab hlob dhau lawm.
"Bitcoin's 8-hli siab nag hmo tuaj nrog ntau qhov zoo siab," nws Commented ntawm daim duab qhia kev ua si hauv social media.
"Tej zaum ntau dhau lawm, raws li kev tawm tswv yim zoo ntawm kev sib raug zoo platform yuav tau tsim lub hauv paus saum toj kawg nkaus. Ib yam li qhov kev tawm tswv yim tsis zoo rau Lub Ob Hlis 13th yuav ua rau hauv qab. "
Qhov tshwm sim kuj pom ntawm altcoins, nrog Santiment hu nkauj tawm Dogecoin (DOGE) ua piv txwv tseem ceeb rau lub hlis no.
"Cov qauv no ntawm kev sib raug zoo ntim thiab kev xav zoo heev rau Dogecoin zoo kawg nkaus qhia txog qhov kev zoo siab tsim cov nqi saum toj kawg nkaus. Txawm hais tias koj lub tswv yim ntawm DOGE, hype ntawm cov khoom vaj khoom tsev no tshwj xeeb hauv keeb kwm yav dhau los ua rau kev hloov kho kev lag luam, "nws xaus.
Lub puas-nrov Crypto Ntshai & Greed Index lub sijhawm no qhia tau hais tias "kev ntshaw" raws li qhov kev xav tsis txaus ntseeg thoob plaws crypto lub lim tiam no.
Lub laub mus rau qhov siab tshaj plaws rau Bitcoin coincided nyob rau hauv kev nyeem ntawv ntawm 62/100 rau Index, cim tshiab highs nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm txij li thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2021 thawb mus rau $ 69,000 ntawm BTC / USD.
Cov kev xav, cov kev xav thiab kev xav ntawm no yog tus sau phau ntawv ib leeg thiab tsis tas yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam lossis sawv cev ntawm kev pom thiab kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.
Tau qhov twg los: https://cointelegraph.com/news/a-snap-back-to-20k-5-things-to-know-in-bitcoin-this-week