Fed tus nqi nce siab tau ua ib qho duab ntxoov ntxoo loj tshaj ntawm kev lag luam Tshuag. Ntawm cov kws tshaj lij uas yog lub tswb nrov yog Ray Dalio, tus tsim ntawm lub ntiaj teb cov nyiaj txiag loj tshaj plaws Bridgewater Associates.
Nyob rau hauv LinkedIn tshaj tawm nyob rau lub Rau Hli, Dalio ceeb toom tias Fed qhov kev nruj yuav ua rau stagflation - ib qho kev lag luam uas cim los ntawm kev nce nqi siab, tab sis tsis muaj kev lag luam loj hlob thiab kev ua haujlwm uas feem ntau tuaj nrog nws.
"[O] dhau mus ntev Fed yuav feem ntau yuav teeb tsa ib qho kev kawm nruab nrab uas yuav ua rau muaj kev tsis sib haum xeeb." Thiab tsis ntev los no, Bridgewater tus thawj coj ua lag luam ua lag luam Greg Jensen hais rau Bloomberg tias Fed lub hawkish stance tseem tseem tsis tau them nqi tag nrho.
"Hauv kev sib sau, cia peb hais tias cov khoom lag luam khoom lag luam poob qis ntawm qee yam xws li 20% mus rau 25%," nws kwv yees.
Yog tias koj xav paub yuav ua li cas muab qhov kev xav tsis zoo no, ntawm no yog saib qee qhov kev tuav pov hwm loj tshaj ntawm Dalio's hedge fund.
Tsis nco
Vanguard FTSE Hnubpoob Khw Muag Khoom Ntawm ETF (VWO)
Raws li Bridgewater qhov tseeb 13F xa mus rau SEC, cov nyiaj tau tuav 15.43 lab shares ntawm Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF thaum kawg ntawm Lub Rau Hli. Nrog rau kev lag luam tus nqi ntawm ib ncig ntawm $ 643 lab thaum lub sijhawm, VWO yog qhov thib xya loj tshaj plaws tuav hauv Dalio cov ntaub ntawv.
VWO taug qab FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap China A Inclusion Index thiab muab cov tub ua lag luam kom yooj yim rau cov khoom lag luam tshiab xws li Tuam Tshoj, Brazil, thiab South Africa.
ETF tuav ntau dua 5,000 cov khoom lag luam. Nws cov tuav sab saum toj suav nrog kev lag luam hnyav xws li chipmaking loj heev Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Suav tech behemoth Tencent Holdings, thiab Indian multinational conglomerate Reliance Industries.
Hauv kev sib tham tsis ntev los no nrog lwm cov lus dab neeg ua lag luam, Jeremy Grantham, Dalio tau hais tias nws tab tom saib cov teb chaws nrog cov nyiaj tau los zoo thiab cov ntawv sib npaug uas tuaj yeem ua tau. huab cua cua daj cua dub.
“Kev tshwm sim Asia yog qhov nthuav heev. Is Nrias teb yog qhov nthuav, "nws hais ntxiv.
Tus Tsim Txiaj Ntsig & twv txiaj (PG)
Bridgewater qhov kev tuav pov hwm loj tshaj plaws yog cov khoom tiv thaiv nrog lub peev xwm xa nyiaj rov qab rau cov tub ua lag luam hauv ntau qhov chaw lag luam: Procter & Gamble.
Nyob rau lub Plaub Hlis, P&G pawg thawj coj tau tshaj tawm txog 5% kev faib nyiaj nce ntxiv, ua rau lub tuam txhab tau nce 66 xyoo sib law liag. Cov Tshuag tam sim no muab cov nyiaj faib tawm txhua xyoo ntawm 2.6%.
Nws yog ib qho yooj yim pom vim li cas lub tuam txhab muaj peev xwm tuav tau zoo li no.
P&G yog cov neeg siv khoom lag luam loj loj nrog cov khoom lag luam uas ntseeg siab zoo li Bounty ntawv phuam, Crest tshuaj txhuam hniav, Gillette rab chais hniav, thiab Tide detergent. Cov no yog cov khoom lag luam uas tsev neeg yuav tsis tu ncua, tsis hais txog kev lag luam ua dab tsi.
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
Nrog rau txoj haujlwm tseem ceeb hauv cov neeg siv khoom noj qab haus huv, tshuaj thiab khoom siv kho mob kev lag luam, kev kho mob loj heev Johnson & Johnson yog lwm lub npe uas tau muab. zoo ib yam rov qab mus rau cov tub ua lag luam thoob plaws hauv kev lag luam.
Ntau lub tuam txhab cov neeg siv khoom noj qab haus huv cov npe - xws li Tylenol, Band-Aid, thiab Listerine - yog cov npe tsev neeg. Nyob rau hauv tag nrho, JNJ muaj 29 cov khoom lag luam txhua lub peev xwm tsim tau tshaj $ 1 nphom hauv kev muag khoom txhua xyoo.
Tsis tsuas yog Johnson & Johnson tshaj tawm cov nyiaj tau los ib xyoos ib zaug xwb, tab sis nws kuj tseem ua rau lawv tsis tu ncua: Hauv 20 xyoo dhau los, Johnson & Johnson cov nyiaj tau los hloov kho tau nce ntawm qhov nruab nrab txhua xyoo ntawm 8%.
JNJ tshaj tawm nws 60th xyoo sib law liag nyiaj faib nce rau lub Plaub Hlis thiab tam sim no yields 2.7%.
Raws li lub Rau Hli 30, Bridgewater tuav 4.33 lab feem ntawm JNJ, muaj nqis kwv yees li $ 769 lab thaum lub sijhawm thiab ua rau nws yog qhov nyiaj thib ob loj tshaj plaws.
Yuav nyeem dab tsi tom ntej
Kab lus no muab cov ntaub ntawv nkaus xwb thiab yuav tsum tsis txhob muab txhais ua cov lus qhia. Nws tau muab yam tsis muaj kev lees paub ntawm txhua yam.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ray-dalio-bridgewater-predicts-another-110000501.html